Asian Energy Security and Implications for the U.S.   The National Bureau of Asian Research & the Pacific Northwest Center for Global Security September 28-29, 2004 The Harbor Steps Conference Center 1301 First Avenue Seattle , Washington   98101 Agenda    Tuesday September 28, 2004  8:00 – 8:30 am                  Coffee and Registration  8:30 – 9:00 am                  Welcome and Introduction   Richard J. Ellings, President, The National Bureau of Asian Research Carol Kessler, Director, The Pacific Northwest Center for Global Security  9:00 – 9:30 am                  Key Strategic Issues in Future Asian Geopolitics                                         James Shinn, National Intelligence Officer, East Asia  9:30 – 11:30 am               Asia’s Rising Importing Powers:  China and India China ’s Energy Insecurity, Strategies, and Future Prospects – Philip Andrews-Speed, University of Dundee , UK China ’s Energy Security and the U.S. – Erica Downs, International Energy Analyst, Washington , D.C. India’s Emerging Energy Security Dilemma: Strategies and Prospects for the Future – Gurneeta Vasudeva, The Energy and Security Group, Reston, VA  11:30 – 1:00 pm                Lunch – Visualization Technology: Demonstration and Prototypes   David Thurman, Senior Research Scientist, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Seattle  1:00 – 2:30 pm                   Asia’s Traditional Importing Powers: Japan and South Korea Japan’s Energy Angst and Outlook – Kent Calder, Johns Hopkins SAIS, Washington, D.C.   South Korea ’s Energy Strategies and Prospects – Yonghun Jung, Asia Pacific Energy Research Center , Tokyo  2:30 – 2:45 pm                   Break    2:45 – 5:00 pm                   Asia ’s Future Oil and Gas Suppliers: The Shape and Geopolitical Implications of Closer Energy Ties The Asia-Middle East Nexus and Implications – Fareed Mohamedi, PFC Energy, Washington , D.C.   Russia ’s Shifting Energy Policies and Its Energy Role in Asia  – Laurent Ruseckas, Eurasia Group, New York   Asia-Central Asia/Caspian Energy Connections, Issues, and Implications – Edward Chow, International Oil Consultant, Washington , D.C.  5:15 – 6:30 pm                  Reception  Wednesday September 29, 2004  8:00 – 8:30 am                  Coffee and Continental Breakfast    8:30 – 10:15 am                Natural Gas and LNG in Asia : New Security Challenges?   Asia’s Natural Gas Outlook: Supply, Demand, and Imports  – Tomoko Hosoe, The East-West Center, Honolulu   The Geopolitics of Northeast Asian Gas Development – Dr. Keun-Wook Paik, The Royal Institute for International Affairs, London   Asian Pipelines and LNG: Cooperation or Competition? – Mikkal   Herberg, The National Bureau of Asian Research 10:15 – 10:30 am              Break  10:30 – 12:00 pm              The Drive for Nuclear and Coal Nuclear Power Generation in Asia and Long-Term Proliferation Issues – Carol Kessler, The Pacific Northwest Center for Global Security, Seattle The Outlook for Coal in Asia – Jonathan Sinton, Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory, Berkeley  12:00 – 1:00 pm                 Lunch  1:00 – 3:00 pm                   U.S. Security and Energy Policy Implications Edward Morse – Hess Energy Trading Company, New York Robert Manning – Department of State, Washington , D.C. Thomas Fisher – Unocal Corporation, Los Angeles Felix Chang – Foreign Policy Research Institute, Philadelphia